5:50 AM- Back in the Saddle

I am back from Charleston. Great trip...though lots of rain my last night there. Some spots picked up more than 3" in just 90 mins!!

I am back to the concrete land of Atlanta.

Storms will be a decent threat today for the Ohio Valley.




And it looks like it will linger for the rest of the weekend as well.



We have another named storms in the Eastern Pacific...while the Atlantic remains calm for now.





And could El Nino keep things calm? What about its impact on this upcoming winter.

Read here for more.

4:07 AM- Stormy...5th

It was an active 4th of July for some in KY/TN with several reports of tornadoes.




This is a part of a cold front that is sagging south in a horizontal fashion. This means areas of AR through GA and the Carolinas will be under the gun today.


SPC has the following areas outlined for the best potential.



Just a heads up for those of you planning more cookouts today.

Tropics? Quiet.

6:07 AM Nice 4th, but then...

Decent weather for much of the SE for the 4th of July holiday. It will be a typical summertime forecast of highs around 90 and hazy skies. The exception will be in the KY/TN region.





SPC has placed an outlook for this area already. The main threat would be for a MCS to move from the west to east with a damaging wind threat.



Even on Sunday...the potential for a repeat of Saturday's weather will take place slightly to the south.




Just keep an eye on this over the weekend as we get closer...it could catch many off guard.

12:46 PM- And It Fell Apart...

The tropical wave pretty much split into two pieces over the weekend...with the main piece already over FL now. Therefore, it is a no go.






A few of the models try to hint that will encounter a situation later in the week in the central Gulf to try to make a comeback...but even if it did, none of them take it beyond a strong tropical wave or depression.

I will monitor.


The headlines this week will be the cooler temps in the NE/Ohio Valley...with heat still in the south.

I will not have any updates starting this weekend through the end of the following week. I am heading to CHARLESTON!

9:20 AM- Watching the Tropics

First off...sorry for my delay again. I had to deal with aging another year.

Secondly, keep in mind that during severe weather events (and when I am close to a pc or able to use my phone) I will provide all the short term severe weather events via my facebook and my twitter. This will cut down on the posts on here.

Now, to the tropics. NHC is watching a tropical wave in the Western Caribbean (remember to check their status on the right bar of the blog that is automatically updated).



NHC has a 40% chance of this developing once it moves into the Gulf of Mexico.

However, only one....one model has this developing. That would be the HWRF. And boy does it develop it...

...as a hurricane nearing Florida.

No need to panic. Let it develop first and see if the other models jump on this.

Stay tuned.

8:42 AM- 1st Named Storm...in Pacific.

Welcome Andres! It is forecast to become a hurricane as he scoots close to Mexico.
Winds this morning up to 50 mph already.






Meanwhile, the Atlantic remains fairly quiet. No signs of short-term development.

6:27 AM- Happy Summer!

While most of you were sleeping last night...we changed seasons. Welcome to Summer!




And boy does it feel like !!! Look at the heat advisories for the SE once again. Granted, there were more on Saturday...it will still be hot region-wide.






The tropics remain quiet at this time. We will have to see how the central Atlantic acts as we warm further into July or will have to wait and see if cold fronts move into the Gulf/SE Coast that could spin up into something significant. Thankfully, neither are taking place right now.

Stay cool!